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Who will win? Our picks for Week 4 high school football in Lubbock area - Lubbock Avalanche-Journal

Who will win? Our picks for Week 4 high school football in Lubbock area - Lubbock Avalanche-Journal

Levelland heads to Sweetwater as a 6-point pick in what the Avalanche-Journal calls the toughest game to call in Week 4 high school football across the Lubbock area.

The matchup pits a 2-1 Levelland squad against a 1-2 Sweetwater team, one of two games flagged as genuine toss-ups this week. The other sits closer to home, with Tahoka, sitting at 2-1, favored by just 2 points on the road against a 2-1 Floydada team. Both games carry even records on both sides, the kind of matchup that keeps prediction columns interesting for fans from Levelland to Floydada.

Behind those calls is a track record worth noting. Stephen's picks went 35-11 in Week 3, a 76.1 percent clip, splitting out to 21-8 in 11-man games and 14-3 in six-man contests. The season mark now stands at 105-32, good for 76.6 percent, with 11-man picks landing at 60-21 and six-man picks running hotter at 45-11.

For fans across the South Plains, these picks are as much conversation starter as prediction.

Six-man picks are outperforming 11-man picks by more than 6 percentage points this season, and nobody has explained why the smaller game is easier to call.

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